electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 4
Arizona State Senate District 4
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 4 →
Current officeholder
Carine Werner Republican
2024 result
Republican R+3.7
2024 votes cast
146,845
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
70 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 4's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-MCCORMICK RANCH | Republican | R+2.9 | 5,076 |
| 04013-HORIZON | Republican | R+14.9 | 4,589 |
| 04013-SIERRA PASS | Republican | R+1.8 | 4,257 |
| 04013-AVIANO | Republican | R+3.8 | 3,626 |
| 04013-TATUM | Republican | R+7.3 | 3,590 |
| 04013-MUSTANG | Republican | R+8.2 | 3,572 |
| 04013-PINE VALLEY | Republican | R+18.3 | 3,378 |
| 04013-MUMMY MOUNTAIN | Democratic | D+7.3 | 3,127 |
| 04013-DEL JOYA | Republican | R+11.4 | 3,004 |
| 04013-CLEARVIEW | Republican | R+1.7 | 2,906 |
| 04013-JACKRABBIT | Republican | R+5.6 | 2,900 |
| 04013-MOHAVE | Democratic | D+3.0 | 2,873 |
| 04013-GREENWAY | Democratic | D+0.9 | 2,867 |
| 04013-CHENEY | Republican | R+27.6 | 2,846 |
| 04013-COPPER | Republican | R+3.4 | 2,799 |
| 04013-HILLVIEW | Republican | R+10.2 | 2,778 |
| 04013-PILLAR | Republican | R+11.0 | 2,764 |
| 04013-KACHINA | Democratic | D+18.5 | 2,707 |
| 04013-ANNETTE | Republican | R+8.5 | 2,647 |
| 04013-REDWING | Democratic | D+9.6 | 2,623 |
All 70 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 4 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 4 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 4 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 4?
Carine Werner (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 4?
R+3.7 — 70,614 Democratic, 76,079 Republican, of 146,845 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.