electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 16
Arizona State House District 16
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 16 →
Current officeholder
Teresa Martinez Republican
2024 result
Republican R+42.0
2024 votes cast
122,072
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
55 precincts reported in Arizona State House District 16's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04021-80 PROVINCE | Republican | R+39.2 | 7,643 |
| 04021-102 MARICOPA WELLS | Republican | R+39.7 | 4,950 |
| 04021-41 CASA GRANDE INTERCHANGE | Republican | R+46.5 | 4,812 |
| 04021-39 CASA GRANDE RANCHO GRANDE | Republican | R+48.4 | 4,538 |
| 04021-13 TOLTEC | Republican | R+50.6 | 4,394 |
| 04021-100 DESERT CEDARS | Democratic | R+28.5 | 4,365 |
| 04021-18 COOLIDGE NW | Republican | R+48.8 | 4,324 |
| 04021-99 MISSION VALLEY | Republican | R+45.3 | 4,232 |
| 04021-83 COYOTE RANCH | Republican | R+51.0 | 4,147 |
| 04021-09 ARIZONA CITY | Republican | R+52.1 | 3,553 |
| 04021-111 TORTOSA | Democratic | R+28.3 | 3,452 |
| 04021-35 CASA GRANDE NE | Republican | R+42.5 | 3,399 |
| 04021-79 MARICOPA FIESTA | Republican | R+37.4 | 3,363 |
| 04021-55 CASA GRANDE WEST | Republican | R+49.6 | 3,205 |
| 04021-81 IRONWOOD COMMON | Republican | R+43.8 | 3,148 |
| 04021-78 MARICOPA MEADOWS | Republican | R+39.3 | 3,050 |
| 04021-74 EL DORADO | Republican | R+31.2 | 2,923 |
| 04021-30 MARICOPA | Republican | R+33.5 | 2,845 |
| 04021-10 TOLTEC SOUTH | Republican | R+51.3 | 2,719 |
| 04021-24 FLORENCE SOUTH | Republican | R+55.0 | 2,659 |
All 55 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 16 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 16 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 16 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 16?
Teresa Martinez (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 16?
R+42.0 — 35,222 Democratic, 86,495 Republican, of 122,072 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.