electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 10
Arizona State House District 10
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 10 →
Current officeholder
Ralph Heap Republican
2024 result
Republican R+22.4
2024 votes cast
211,157
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
46 precincts reported in Arizona State House District 10's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-FENIMORE | Republican | R+40.2 | 9,465 |
| 04013-GREENFIELD PARK | Republican | R+15.6 | 7,991 |
| 04013-DREAMLAND VILLA | Republican | R+17.8 | 7,945 |
| 04013-SAN MICHELLE | Republican | R+15.5 | 7,865 |
| 04013-APACHE WELLS | Republican | R+21.9 | 7,815 |
| 04013-HERMOSA VISTA | Republican | R+29.7 | 7,258 |
| 04013-GROVES | Republican | R+26.8 | 7,123 |
| 04013-CITRUS GROVES | Republican | R+12.9 | 6,883 |
| 04013-GOLDEN HILLS | Republican | R+5.2 | 6,679 |
| 04013-TONTO | Republican | R+18.6 | 6,600 |
| 04013-RED MOUNTAIN | Republican | R+20.8 | 6,582 |
| 04013-AZTEC SPRINGS | Republican | R+13.9 | 6,359 |
| 04013-DALLAS | Republican | R+22.0 | 6,273 |
| 04013-LAS SENDAS | Republican | R+25.9 | 5,948 |
| 04013-GLENVIEW | Republican | R+36.0 | 5,470 |
| 04013-ESCONDIDO | Republican | R+8.0 | 5,331 |
| 04013-ENID PARK | Republican | R+19.4 | 4,968 |
| 04013-ENTZ | Republican | R+33.4 | 4,938 |
| 04013-CITRUS GARDENS | Republican | R+4.3 | 4,880 |
| 04013-GARY | Republican | R+24.6 | 4,865 |
All 46 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 10 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 10 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 10 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 10?
Ralph Heap (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 10?
R+22.4 — 81,884 Democratic, 129,149 Republican, of 211,157 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.