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Arizona's 9th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona's 9th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Paul A. Gosar Republican
2024 result
Republican R+30.6
2024 votes cast
382,654
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Paul A. Gosar's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
5.7estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 836,316 people, median age 40.7, median household income $76,350.
Population
836,316
Median age
40.7
Median household income
$76,350
Bachelor's degree or higher
22.6%
Race & ethnicity: White 57.1% · Black 4.3% · Hispanic 31.1% · Asian 2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
165 precincts reported in Arizona's 9th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04015-220_LAKE HAVASU SOUTH | Republican | R+60.1 | 22,744 |
| 04015-211_BULLHEAD CITY | Republican | R+47.0 | 17,863 |
| 04015-212_MOHAVE VALLEY | Republican | R+55.2 | 11,727 |
| 04015-219_LAKE HAVASU NORTH | Republican | R+64.8 | 9,083 |
| 04015-218_KINGMAN EAST | Republican | R+57.0 | 8,978 |
| 04015-217_KINGMAN SOUTH | Republican | R+53.0 | 7,258 |
| 04013-PEBBLE CREEK | Republican | R+20.5 | 6,805 |
| 04015-210_GOLDEN VALLEY | Republican | R+58.8 | 6,000 |
| 04015-216_KINGMAN NORTH | Republican | R+52.6 | 5,737 |
| 04013-RIO PASEO | Republican | R+2.9 | 4,527 |
| 04015-215_KINGMAN CENTRAL | Republican | R+44.6 | 4,361 |
| 04013-WICKENBURG | Republican | R+55.4 | 4,346 |
| 04013-DESERT THUNDER | Republican | R+0.1 | 4,213 |
| 04013-TARTESSO | Republican | R+28.2 | 4,191 |
| 04013-WIGWAM | Republican | R+13.9 | 4,099 |
| 04013-WILDFLOWER | Democratic | D+6.7 | 4,084 |
| 04013-SELLS | Republican | R+24.1 | 3,898 |
| 04013-SUNDANCE WEST | Republican | R+6.9 | 3,891 |
| 04013-AIRLINE CANAL | Democratic | D+6.1 | 3,648 |
| 04013-SARIVAL | Republican | R+25.4 | 3,622 |
All 165 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona's 9th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 9th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona's 9th Congressional District in the simulator →