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Arizona's 2nd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona's 2nd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Elijah Crane Republican
2024 result
Republican R+8.8
2024 votes cast
405,811
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 811,584 people, median age 42.1, median household income $64,884.
Population
811,584
Median age
42.1
Median household income
$64,884
Bachelor's degree or higher
25.5%
Race & ethnicity: White 55.1% · Black 2.4% · Hispanic 17.8% · Asian 1.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
285 precincts reported in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04017-14 BISON | Republican | R+51.7 | 9,092 |
| 04017-10 PIONEER | Republican | R+68.6 | 8,163 |
| 04025-ONYX (337.00) | Republican | R+10.8 | 7,171 |
| 04025-GOLF (304.00) | Republican | R+13.8 | 6,251 |
| 04017-21 WOODLAND | Republican | R+36.6 | 5,952 |
| 04025-AZURE (335.00) | Republican | R+9.5 | 5,939 |
| 04025-COURT (303.00) | Republican | R+10.1 | 5,618 |
| 04017-01 RED BUTTE | Democratic | D+79.4 | 5,596 |
| 04021-80 PROVINCE | Republican | R+7.5 | 5,252 |
| 04021-109 FLORENCE ANTHEM | Republican | R+31.6 | 5,217 |
| 04025-BEARS (347.00) | Republican | R+37.3 | 5,197 |
| 04025-GRAZE (351.00) | Republican | R+52.4 | 5,093 |
| 04025-RUBY (331.00) | Democratic | D+18.0 | 4,999 |
| 04025-RANCH (308.00) | Republican | R+51.6 | 4,988 |
| 04025-WILLOW (306.00) | Republican | R+33.7 | 4,971 |
| 04025-BISON (346.00) | Republican | R+33.9 | 4,864 |
| 04025-BIGHORN (345.00) | Republican | R+30.5 | 4,746 |
| 04025-SCARLET (330.00) | Democratic | D+16.7 | 4,546 |
| 04025-GRANITE (301.00) | Republican | R+28.9 | 4,412 |
| 04025-FAIR (305.00) | Republican | R+18.4 | 4,370 |
All 285 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona's 2nd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Arizona's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →