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Arizona's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Greg Stanton Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+7.3
2024 votes cast
334,805
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 803,744 people, median age 35, median household income $79,335.
Population
803,744
Median age
35
Median household income
$79,335
Bachelor's degree or higher
38.4%
Race & ethnicity: White 56.1% · Black 5.7% · Hispanic 26.2% · Asian 5.5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
146 precincts reported in Arizona's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-CLUB WEST | Democratic | D+11.6 | 4,948 |
| 04013-MAGIC STONE | Democratic | D+20.9 | 4,565 |
| 04013-GREENFIELD PARK | Republican | R+14.3 | 4,416 |
| 04013-ALEXANDER | Democratic | D+20.3 | 4,381 |
| 04013-SAN MICHELLE | Republican | R+14.8 | 4,363 |
| 04013-DREAMLAND VILLA | Republican | R+16.7 | 4,355 |
| 04013-PILGRIM | Republican | R+3.2 | 4,338 |
| 04013-CAMELOT | Democratic | D+7.1 | 4,288 |
| 04013-APACHE WELLS | Republican | R+19.6 | 4,236 |
| 04013-DOBSON RANCH | Democratic | D+13.8 | 3,949 |
| 04013-STELLAR | Democratic | D+10.3 | 3,901 |
| 04013-GROVES | Republican | R+25.5 | 3,881 |
| 04013-CITRUS GROVES | Republican | R+12.5 | 3,869 |
| 04013-KOKOPELLI | Democratic | D+25.4 | 3,841 |
| 04013-CRISMON | Democratic | D+7.5 | 3,805 |
| 04013-SUN TRAILS | Republican | R+18.0 | 3,639 |
| 04013-TONTO | Republican | R+17.8 | 3,622 |
| 04013-RED MOUNTAIN | Republican | R+19.3 | 3,560 |
| 04013-AZTEC SPRINGS | Republican | R+13.0 | 3,536 |
| 04013-WINDMERE | Democratic | D+17.5 | 3,522 |
All 146 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Arizona's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →