electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 13
Arizona State Senate District 13
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 13 →
Current officeholder
J.D. Mesnard Republican
2024 result
Republican R+6.3
2024 votes cast
118,074
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
45 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 13's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-COLONIA | Republican | R+4.2 | 4,824 |
| 04013-BAYSHORE | Republican | R+8.1 | 4,821 |
| 04013-COMPADRE | Republican | R+8.2 | 4,800 |
| 04013-OAKWOOD COUNTRY CLUB | Republican | R+25.9 | 4,187 |
| 04013-COTTONWOOD COUNTRY CLUB | Republican | R+19.2 | 3,976 |
| 04013-CHANDLER HEIGHTS | Republican | R+21.2 | 3,880 |
| 04013-CLOUD | Republican | R+16.8 | 3,845 |
| 04013-MYSTIC | Republican | R+10.3 | 3,548 |
| 04013-FULTON RANCH | Republican | R+11.4 | 3,522 |
| 04013-PEACH TREE | Republican | R+18.0 | 3,515 |
| 04013-HORSESHOE | Republican | R+9.1 | 3,504 |
| 04013-PINON | Republican | R+6.1 | 3,474 |
| 04013-BRACKEN | Democratic | D+2.8 | 3,430 |
| 04013-FIESTA RANCH | Republican | R+7.1 | 3,295 |
| 04013-FOX CROSSING | Republican | R+2.0 | 3,258 |
| 04013-LONGHORN | Republican | R+6.8 | 3,249 |
| 04013-MCQUEEN | Republican | R+15.4 | 3,211 |
| 04013-LAREDO | Republican | R+4.6 | 3,011 |
| 04013-INDIGO | Republican | R+6.4 | 2,851 |
| 04013-AZALEA | Republican | R+12.0 | 2,824 |
All 45 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 13 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 13 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 13 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 13?
J.D. Mesnard (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 13?
R+6.3 — 55,287 Democratic, 62,670 Republican, of 118,074 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.