electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 12
Arizona State Senate District 12
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 12 →
Current officeholder
Denise “Mitzi” Epstein Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+16.2
2024 votes cast
121,431
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
48 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 12's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-CLUB WEST | Democratic | D+8.6 | 4,852 |
| 04013-MAGIC STONE | Democratic | D+20.2 | 4,476 |
| 04013-ALEXANDER | Democratic | D+20.8 | 4,299 |
| 04013-CAMELOT | Democratic | D+5.5 | 4,221 |
| 04013-STELLAR | Democratic | D+10.2 | 3,860 |
| 04013-KOKOPELLI | Democratic | D+23.9 | 3,795 |
| 04013-WINDMERE | Democratic | D+16.0 | 3,474 |
| 04013-ROCKLEDGE | Democratic | D+9.2 | 3,405 |
| 04013-LAKEWOOD | Democratic | D+12.3 | 3,373 |
| 04013-CORBELL | Democratic | D+23.2 | 3,195 |
| 04013-THUNDERHILL | Democratic | D+4.0 | 3,182 |
| 04013-AHWATUKEE | Democratic | D+12.3 | 3,151 |
| 04013-WAGGONER | Democratic | D+16.8 | 3,088 |
| 04013-SCUDDER | Democratic | D+24.9 | 3,054 |
| 04013-GILA | Democratic | D+12.8 | 3,045 |
| 04013-GALVESTON | Democratic | D+19.1 | 3,019 |
| 04013-JUPITER | Democratic | D+16.4 | 2,961 |
| 04013-OPTIMIST | Democratic | D+23.2 | 2,914 |
| 04013-CARDINAL | Democratic | D+19.4 | 2,877 |
| 04013-PINTO | Democratic | D+1.6 | 2,855 |
All 48 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 12 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 12 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 12 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 12?
Denise “Mitzi” Epstein (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 12?
D+16.2 — 70,499 Democratic, 50,796 Republican, of 121,431 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.