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Arizona's 1st Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.

Model Arizona's 1st Congressional District →

Arizona's 1st Congressional District — highlighted within Arizona's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+3.8 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

David Schweikert Republican

2024 result

Republican R+3.8

2024 votes cast

435,290

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for David Schweikert's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#189 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

6.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 800,544 people, median age 43.4, median household income $95,281.

Population

800,544

Median age

43.4

Median household income

$95,281

Bachelor's degree or higher

51.3%

Race & ethnicity: White 69.5% · Black 3.7% · Hispanic 16.8% · Asian 4.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

206 precincts reported in Arizona's 1st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
04013-RIO VERDE Republican R+43.2 6,199
04013-DIXILETA Republican R+22.9 5,718
04013-WESTWORLD Republican R+7.4 5,598
04013-MCCORMICK RANCH Republican R+2.7 5,111
04013-TERRAVITA Republican R+26.5 4,648
04013-HORIZON Republican R+15.0 4,604
04013-GRANITE MOUNTAIN Republican R+39.5 4,347
04013-SIERRA PASS Republican R+2.5 4,308
04013-SUNNY HIGH Democratic D+19.9 4,283
04013-BLUEBIRD Democratic D+4.2 4,236
04013-PINNACLE PEAK Republican R+30.8 4,006
04013-SILVER SPUR Republican R+12.2 4,001
04013-GOLDEN EAGLE Republican R+22.3 3,898
04013-DC RANCH Republican R+17.2 3,826
04013-MONTE CRISTO Democratic D+4.3 3,772
04013-FOUR PEAKS Republican R+21.7 3,746
04013-AVIANO Republican R+3.7 3,688
04013-TATUM Republican R+7.8 3,620
04013-MUSTANG Republican R+10.2 3,596
04013-BOULDER MOUNTAIN Republican R+27.2 3,532

All 206 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Arizona's 1st Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 1st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Arizona's 1st Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Arizona's 1st Congressional District?
David Schweikert (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona's 1st Congressional District?
R+3.8 — 208,966 Democratic, 225,538 Republican, of 435,290 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Arizona's 1st Congressional District?
Arizona's 1st Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 6.2 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 189 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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