electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 22
Arizona State Senate District 22
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 22 →
Current officeholder
Eva Diaz Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+29.1
2024 votes cast
70,146
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
40 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 22's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-DEVONSHIRE | Democratic | D+9.2 | 3,792 |
| 04013-CRYSTAL GARDENS | Democratic | D+19.5 | 3,630 |
| 04013-ORME | Democratic | D+25.5 | 3,138 |
| 04013-SENNIA VISTA | Democratic | D+42.0 | 2,687 |
| 04013-WARNER | Democratic | D+24.5 | 2,670 |
| 04013-COLDWATER RIDGE | Democratic | D+27.6 | 2,654 |
| 04013-CASHION | Democratic | D+40.6 | 2,644 |
| 04013-PALMBROOK | Democratic | D+4.7 | 2,605 |
| 04013-FOREST GROVE | Democratic | D+47.9 | 2,392 |
| 04013-HADLEY | Democratic | D+28.4 | 2,328 |
| 04013-WESTWIND | Democratic | D+37.1 | 2,254 |
| 04013-CORDONIZ | Democratic | D+18.9 | 2,204 |
| 04013-RIVERSIDE | Democratic | D+46.8 | 2,185 |
| 04013-PENA | Democratic | D+45.1 | 2,093 |
| 04013-DESERT MIRAGE | Democratic | D+4.5 | 2,029 |
| 04013-TOLLESON | Democratic | D+49.0 | 2,023 |
| 04013-QUENTIN | Democratic | D+35.4 | 1,948 |
| 04013-CORDES | Democratic | D+31.8 | 1,912 |
| 04013-MARIPOSA | Democratic | D+21.8 | 1,828 |
| 04013-TRES RIOS | Democratic | D+34.7 | 1,826 |
All 40 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 22 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 22 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 22 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 22?
Eva Diaz (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 22?
D+29.1 — 45,253 Democratic, 24,812 Republican, of 70,146 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.