electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 26
Arizona State Senate District 26
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 26 →
Current officeholder
Flavio Bravo Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+32.6
2024 votes cast
47,116
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
34 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 26's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-EL CARO | Democratic | D+28.4 | 3,250 |
| 04013-MARLETTE | Democratic | D+33.9 | 3,024 |
| 04013-SILVERADO | Democratic | D+45.0 | 2,980 |
| 04013-SEVILLA | Democratic | D+36.2 | 2,933 |
| 04013-HARMONT | Democratic | D+16.0 | 2,682 |
| 04013-LUKE | Democratic | D+35.3 | 2,045 |
| 04013-HOLMES | Democratic | D+47.0 | 1,959 |
| 04013-KEIM | Democratic | D+21.9 | 1,918 |
| 04013-GRANADA | Democratic | D+43.7 | 1,811 |
| 04013-NICOLET | Democratic | D+13.9 | 1,677 |
| 04013-ACUNA | Democratic | D+57.6 | 1,539 |
| 04013-MARIGOLD | Democratic | D+6.5 | 1,430 |
| 04013-OCOTILLO | Democratic | D+32.1 | 1,369 |
| 04013-LYNWOOD | Democratic | D+55.0 | 1,363 |
| 04013-MADRID | Democratic | D+49.9 | 1,349 |
| 04013-STELLA | Democratic | D+26.1 | 1,332 |
| 04013-HAYDEN HIGH | Democratic | D+50.2 | 1,232 |
| 04013-MANZANITA | Democratic | D+11.6 | 1,185 |
| 04013-ECHO | Democratic | D+17.4 | 1,170 |
| 04013-METRO | Democratic | D+11.8 | 1,161 |
All 34 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 26 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 26 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 26 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 26?
Flavio Bravo (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 26?
D+32.6 — 31,198 Democratic, 15,826 Republican, of 47,116 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.