electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 19
Arizona State House District 19
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 19 →
Current officeholder
Lupe Diaz Republican
2024 result
Republican R+56.9
2024 votes cast
107,844
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
78 precincts reported in Arizona State House District 19's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04009-PIMA #9 | Republican | R+84.3 | 3,474 |
| 04003-27 SV BUFFALO SOLDIER | Republican | R+56.0 | 3,446 |
| 04003-41 SV VILLAGE MEADOWS | Republican | R+56.5 | 3,047 |
| 04003-43 SV YAQUI | Republican | R+60.2 | 3,029 |
| 04003-46 WHETSTONE | Republican | R+66.5 | 2,894 |
| 04003-32 SV COUNTRY CLUB | Republican | R+53.1 | 2,845 |
| 04003-26 SV AVENIDA DEL SOL | Republican | R+49.3 | 2,792 |
| 04003-02 BE J_SIX | Republican | R+66.6 | 2,778 |
| 04003-35 SV MOSON | Republican | R+67.2 | 2,624 |
| 04003-24 ST DAVID | Republican | R+71.6 | 2,619 |
| 04003-40 SV TOWN & COUNTRY | Republican | R+57.3 | 2,555 |
| 04003-03 BE SAN PEDRO | Republican | R+57.6 | 2,375 |
| 04003-33 SV ESTATES | Republican | R+51.4 | 2,357 |
| 04003-39 SV SOLDIER CREEK | Republican | R+40.6 | 2,311 |
| 04009-THATCHER #7 | Republican | R+75.0 | 2,305 |
| 04003-14 GREATER SAN PEDRO | Republican | R+66.7 | 2,234 |
| 04003-31 SV COLLEGE | Republican | R+48.9 | 2,106 |
| 04003-08 COCHISE STRONGHOLD | Republican | R+59.7 | 2,094 |
| 04003-15 HEREFORD | Republican | R+60.9 | 2,076 |
| 04003-01 BE BENSON | Republican | R+61.8 | 2,075 |
All 78 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 19 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 19 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 19 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 19?
Lupe Diaz (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 19?
R+56.9 — 23,078 Democratic, 84,481 Republican, of 107,844 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.