electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 23
Arizona State House District 23
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 23 →
Current officeholder
Michele Peña Republican
2024 result
Democratic D+27.5
2024 votes cast
88,732
Office
State House
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 23 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 23 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 23 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 23?
Michele Peña (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 23?
D+27.5 — 56,494 Democratic, 32,060 Republican, of 88,732 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.