electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 23
Arizona State House District 23
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 23 →
Current officeholder
Michele Peña Republican
2024 result
Democratic D+27.5
2024 votes cast
88,732
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
44 precincts reported in Arizona State House District 23's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-DESERT THUNDER | Republican | D+26.0 | 5,908 |
| 04013-WILDFLOWER | Democratic | D+34.0 | 5,779 |
| 04013-ESTRELLA FOOTHILLS | Republican | D+18.4 | 4,990 |
| 04013-DESERT EDGE | Republican | D+26.0 | 4,826 |
| 04013-WILLIS | Republican | D+9.5 | 4,763 |
| 04013-LILAC | Republican | D+25.3 | 4,602 |
| 04013-WESTAR | Republican | D+8.5 | 4,283 |
| 04013-GETTY | Republican | D+20.7 | 3,028 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 018 | Republican | D+23.7 | 2,508 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 039 | Democratic | D+56.6 | 2,485 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 037 | Democratic | D+50.9 | 2,484 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 011 | Republican | D+13.8 | 2,362 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 040 | Democratic | D+59.0 | 2,315 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 012 | Republican | D+17.0 | 2,314 |
| 04013-RAINBOW VALLEY | Republican | R+1.4 | 2,290 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 035 | Democratic | D+42.6 | 2,239 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 041 | Democratic | D+60.5 | 2,238 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 008 | Republican | D+11.0 | 2,237 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 038 | Democratic | D+47.7 | 2,235 |
| 04013-DESERT BLOSSOM | Republican | D+10.5 | 2,231 |
All 44 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 23 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 23 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 23 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 23?
Michele Peña (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 23?
D+27.5 — 56,494 Democratic, 32,060 Republican, of 88,732 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.