electionsmcp › races › Arizona's 7th Congressional District
Arizona's 7th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona's 7th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Adelita S. Grijalva Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+26.8
2024 votes cast
271,544
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Adelita S. Grijalva's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
6.3estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 804,461 people, median age 34, median household income $58,120.
Population
804,461
Median age
34
Median household income
$58,120
Bachelor's degree or higher
21.6%
Race & ethnicity: White 29.1% · Black 3.8% · Hispanic 60.1% · Asian 1.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
208 precincts reported in Arizona's 7th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04019-Precinct 041 | Democratic | D+21.4 | 5,575 |
| 04019-Precinct 231 | Republican | R+8.1 | 4,671 |
| 04019-Precinct 227 | Republican | R+6.8 | 4,529 |
| 04019-Precinct 166 | Democratic | D+58.0 | 3,758 |
| 04013-DEVONSHIRE | Democratic | D+9.8 | 3,726 |
| 04013-CRYSTAL GARDENS | Democratic | D+19.5 | 3,581 |
| 04019-Precinct 232 | Democratic | D+19.4 | 3,517 |
| 04019-Precinct 005 | Republican | R+40.7 | 3,479 |
| 04019-Precinct 053 | Democratic | D+46.5 | 3,423 |
| 04019-Precinct 235 | Democratic | D+32.6 | 3,263 |
| 04019-Precinct 032 | Democratic | D+9.6 | 3,094 |
| 04013-ORME | Democratic | D+26.3 | 3,075 |
| 04019-Precinct 153 | Democratic | D+35.3 | 2,947 |
| 04023-Rio Rico 7 07.1/07.2/07.4 | Democratic | D+13.3 | 2,911 |
| 04019-Precinct 042 | Democratic | D+63.6 | 2,904 |
| 04019-Precinct 021 | Democratic | D+13.1 | 2,776 |
| 04019-Precinct 092 | Democratic | D+17.6 | 2,759 |
| 04019-Precinct 086 | Democratic | D+45.6 | 2,751 |
| 04013-WARNER | Democratic | D+24.3 | 2,616 |
| 04013-COLDWATER RIDGE | Democratic | D+27.1 | 2,605 |
All 208 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona's 7th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 7th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona's 7th Congressional District in the simulator →