electionsmcp › races › Arizona's 5th Congressional District
Arizona's 5th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona's 5th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Andy Biggs Republican
2024 result
Republican R+20.7
2024 votes cast
423,882
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Andy Biggs's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
6.1estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 812,986 people, median age 38.8, median household income $105,750.
Population
812,986
Median age
38.8
Median household income
$105,750
Bachelor's degree or higher
40.2%
Race & ethnicity: White 67% · Black 3.5% · Hispanic 17.9% · Asian 5.8%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
150 precincts reported in Arizona's 5th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04021-28 QUEEN CREEK | Republican | R+30.5 | 5,993 |
| 04013-SAGEBRUSH | Republican | R+23.9 | 5,388 |
| 04013-SEVILLE | Republican | R+25.8 | 5,291 |
| 04013-RITTENHOUSE | Republican | R+36.5 | 5,185 |
| 04013-FENIMORE | Republican | R+39.4 | 5,024 |
| 04013-BAYSHORE | Republican | R+3.9 | 4,788 |
| 04013-COMPADRE | Republican | R+2.6 | 4,761 |
| 04013-SUNLAND VILLAGE | Republican | R+19.1 | 4,739 |
| 04013-COLONIA | Republican | R+1.4 | 4,731 |
| 04013-POWER RANCH | Republican | R+13.7 | 4,545 |
| 04013-CORTINA | Republican | R+32.8 | 4,523 |
| 04013-SPUR | Republican | R+13.4 | 4,429 |
| 04013-WHITEWING | Republican | R+21.7 | 4,413 |
| 04013-SUNNYVALE | Republican | R+28.3 | 4,376 |
| 04013-JOSHUA TREE | Republican | R+15.3 | 4,329 |
| 04013-SONOQUI | Republican | R+51.7 | 4,329 |
| 04021-86 CIRCLE CROSS RANCH | Republican | R+27.9 | 4,191 |
| 04013-SOSSAMAN | Republican | R+42.1 | 4,113 |
| 04013-OAKWOOD COUNTRY CLUB | Republican | R+20.7 | 4,103 |
| 04013-DRIFTWOOD | Republican | R+21.6 | 4,062 |
All 150 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona's 5th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 5th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona's 5th Congressional District in the simulator →