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Arizona's 3rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona's 3rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Yassamin Ansari Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+44.3
2024 votes cast
202,399
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Yassamin Ansari's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
6.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 803,591 people, median age 31.1, median household income $64,537.
Population
803,591
Median age
31.1
Median household income
$64,537
Bachelor's degree or higher
19.3%
Race & ethnicity: White 19.7% · Black 10.6% · Hispanic 63.2% · Asian 2.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
124 precincts reported in Arizona's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-PARK CENTRAL | Democratic | D+57.6 | 4,214 |
| 04013-WESTWARD HO | Democratic | D+59.5 | 4,045 |
| 04013-ROESER | Democratic | D+47.7 | 3,573 |
| 04013-TURNEY | Democratic | D+57.5 | 3,418 |
| 04013-ARDMORE | Democratic | D+41.0 | 3,375 |
| 04013-MADISON PARK | Democratic | D+50.1 | 3,165 |
| 04013-OLNEY | Democratic | D+25.9 | 3,128 |
| 04013-SUMMERSIDE | Democratic | D+19.3 | 3,046 |
| 04013-SILVERADO | Democratic | D+45.3 | 3,015 |
| 04013-EUCLID | Democratic | D+35.4 | 3,008 |
| 04013-HIDALGO | Democratic | D+42.2 | 2,965 |
| 04013-WILSHIRE | Democratic | D+61.5 | 2,937 |
| 04013-SEVILLA | Democratic | D+35.9 | 2,925 |
| 04013-RUBY | Democratic | D+35.2 | 2,867 |
| 04013-CARVER | Democratic | D+33.8 | 2,850 |
| 04013-VINEYARD | Democratic | D+30.8 | 2,687 |
| 04013-SENNIA VISTA | Democratic | D+40.3 | 2,682 |
| 04013-TRAILSIDE | Democratic | D+36.2 | 2,596 |
| 04013-ELWOOD | Democratic | D+44.8 | 2,564 |
| 04013-NORTH HIGH | Democratic | D+59.3 | 2,462 |
All 124 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona's 3rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →