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Arizona's 3rd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.

Model Arizona's 3rd Congressional District →

Arizona's 3rd Congressional District — highlighted within Arizona's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+44.3 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Yassamin Ansari Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+44.3

2024 votes cast

202,399

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Yassamin Ansari's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#190 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

6.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 803,591 people, median age 31.1, median household income $64,537.

Population

803,591

Median age

31.1

Median household income

$64,537

Bachelor's degree or higher

19.3%

Race & ethnicity: White 19.7% · Black 10.6% · Hispanic 63.2% · Asian 2.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

124 precincts reported in Arizona's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
04013-PARK CENTRAL Democratic D+57.6 4,214
04013-WESTWARD HO Democratic D+59.5 4,045
04013-ROESER Democratic D+47.7 3,573
04013-TURNEY Democratic D+57.5 3,418
04013-ARDMORE Democratic D+41.0 3,375
04013-MADISON PARK Democratic D+50.1 3,165
04013-OLNEY Democratic D+25.9 3,128
04013-SUMMERSIDE Democratic D+19.3 3,046
04013-SILVERADO Democratic D+45.3 3,015
04013-EUCLID Democratic D+35.4 3,008
04013-HIDALGO Democratic D+42.2 2,965
04013-WILSHIRE Democratic D+61.5 2,937
04013-SEVILLA Democratic D+35.9 2,925
04013-RUBY Democratic D+35.2 2,867
04013-CARVER Democratic D+33.8 2,850
04013-VINEYARD Democratic D+30.8 2,687
04013-SENNIA VISTA Democratic D+40.3 2,682
04013-TRAILSIDE Democratic D+36.2 2,596
04013-ELWOOD Democratic D+44.8 2,564
04013-NORTH HIGH Democratic D+59.3 2,462

All 124 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Arizona's 3rd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Arizona's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Arizona's 3rd Congressional District?
Yassamin Ansari (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona's 3rd Congressional District?
D+44.3 — 143,336 Democratic, 53,705 Republican, of 202,399 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District?
Arizona's 3rd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 6.2 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 190 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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