electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 22
Arizona State House District 22
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 22 →
Current officeholder
Lupe Contreras Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+28.5
2024 votes cast
121,981
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
40 precincts reported in Arizona State House District 22's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-DEVONSHIRE | Democratic | D+8.7 | 6,849 |
| 04013-CRYSTAL GARDENS | Democratic | D+18.8 | 6,475 |
| 04013-ORME | Democratic | D+26.2 | 5,501 |
| 04013-COLDWATER RIDGE | Democratic | D+29.0 | 4,657 |
| 04013-PALMBROOK | Democratic | D+2.7 | 4,652 |
| 04013-WARNER | Democratic | D+25.4 | 4,628 |
| 04013-SENNIA VISTA | Democratic | D+40.8 | 4,602 |
| 04013-CASHION | Democratic | D+40.4 | 4,561 |
| 04013-HADLEY | Democratic | D+28.9 | 4,060 |
| 04013-FOREST GROVE | Democratic | D+46.8 | 4,053 |
| 04013-WESTWIND | Democratic | D+36.7 | 3,870 |
| 04013-CORDONIZ | Democratic | D+18.4 | 3,792 |
| 04013-RIVERSIDE | Democratic | D+47.1 | 3,723 |
| 04013-DESERT MIRAGE | Democratic | D+3.6 | 3,645 |
| 04013-PENA | Democratic | D+43.2 | 3,534 |
| 04013-TOLLESON | Democratic | D+49.7 | 3,501 |
| 04013-QUENTIN | Democratic | D+35.6 | 3,375 |
| 04013-CORDES | Democratic | D+31.9 | 3,254 |
| 04013-MARIPOSA | Democratic | D+20.7 | 3,143 |
| 04013-TRES RIOS | Democratic | D+34.3 | 3,136 |
All 40 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 22 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 22 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 22 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 22?
Lupe Contreras (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 22?
D+28.5 — 78,290 Democratic, 43,585 Republican, of 121,981 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.