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Arizona's 6th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.

Model Arizona's 6th Congressional District →

Arizona's 6th Congressional District — highlighted within Arizona's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+2.5 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Juan Ciscomani Republican

2024 result

Republican R+2.5

2024 votes cast

431,727

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Juan Ciscomani's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#203 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

5.9estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage98.8%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 798,431 people, median age 44.5, median household income $75,244.

Population

798,431

Median age

44.5

Median household income

$75,244

Bachelor's degree or higher

38.9%

Race & ethnicity: White 62.7% · Black 3.7% · Hispanic 25% · Asian 3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

245 precincts reported in Arizona's 6th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
04019-Precinct 084 Republican R+3.5 6,579
04019-Precinct 109 Republican R+16.6 5,944
04019-Precinct 184 Republican R+18.1 5,731
04019-Precinct 127 Republican R+11.3 5,683
04019-Precinct 172 Republican R+5.7 4,947
04019-Precinct 224 Republican R+8.5 4,871
04019-Precinct 006 Republican R+17.7 4,848
04019-Precinct 218 Democratic D+4.8 4,838
04019-Precinct 115 Republican R+3.6 4,601
04019-Precinct 116 Democratic D+15.2 4,580
04019-Precinct 012 Democratic D+4.1 4,378
04019-Precinct 229 Republican R+30.9 4,343
04019-Precinct 145 Democratic D+6.7 4,199
04019-Precinct 141 Democratic D+13.9 4,140
04019-Precinct 104 Democratic D+0.0 3,758
04019-Precinct 069 Democratic D+19.9 3,593
04019-Precinct 174 Democratic D+15.9 3,511
04021-92 EAGLE CREST Republican R+9.3 3,389
04019-Precinct 014 Republican R+2.3 3,380
04019-Precinct 108 Democratic D+37.4 3,309

All 245 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Arizona's 6th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 6th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Arizona's 6th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Arizona's 6th Congressional District?
Juan Ciscomani (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona's 6th Congressional District?
R+2.5 — 204,774 Democratic, 215,596 Republican, of 431,727 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Arizona's 6th Congressional District?
Arizona's 6th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 5.9 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 203 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 98.8%.

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