electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 25
Arizona State House District 25
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 25 →
Current officeholder
Nick Kupper Republican
2024 result
Republican R+52.1
2024 votes cast
174,446
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
65 precincts reported in Arizona State House District 25's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-TARTESSO | Republican | R+51.0 | 6,025 |
| 04013-SELLS | Republican | R+48.8 | 5,670 |
| 04013-SUNDANCE WEST | Democratic | R+32.8 | 5,343 |
| 04013-TUTHILL | Republican | R+52.1 | 5,298 |
| 04013-SUNSET HILLS | Republican | R+49.5 | 5,152 |
| 04013-WILLOW CANYON | Republican | R+48.9 | 5,089 |
| 04013-ORCHID | Republican | R+59.7 | 4,590 |
| 04013-WINDROSE | Republican | R+50.0 | 4,536 |
| 04013-VERRADO | Republican | R+45.2 | 4,471 |
| 04013-CORTESSA | Republican | R+53.5 | 4,428 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 025 | Republican | R+66.7 | 4,419 |
| 04013-DURANGO | Republican | R+33.5 | 4,363 |
| 04013-DOVE | Democratic | R+28.7 | 4,262 |
| 04013-PRASADA | Republican | R+53.6 | 4,172 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 023 | Republican | R+56.9 | 3,950 |
| 04013-SURPRISE FARMS | Republican | R+45.6 | 3,924 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 026 | Republican | R+65.5 | 3,821 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 027 | Republican | R+68.6 | 3,678 |
| 04013-FLOWER | Republican | R+55.3 | 3,677 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 028 | Republican | R+61.7 | 3,584 |
All 65 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 25 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 25 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 25 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 25?
Nick Kupper (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 25?
R+52.1 — 41,577 Democratic, 132,397 Republican, of 174,446 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.