electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 29
Arizona State House District 29
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 29 →
Current officeholder
Steve Montenegro Republican
2024 result
Republican R+20.3
2024 votes cast
219,218
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
47 precincts reported in Arizona State House District 29's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-PEBBLE CREEK | Republican | R+24.2 | 13,134 |
| 04013-RIO PASEO | Republican | R+6.7 | 8,344 |
| 04013-GRAND | Republican | R+17.9 | 8,164 |
| 04013-WIGWAM | Republican | R+16.5 | 7,630 |
| 04013-LA SOLANA | Republican | R+21.1 | 7,331 |
| 04013-SARIVAL | Republican | R+27.2 | 6,682 |
| 04013-GRANITE FALLS | Republican | R+19.4 | 6,627 |
| 04013-AIRLINE CANAL | Democratic | D+3.8 | 6,623 |
| 04013-TILLMAN | Republican | R+37.3 | 6,383 |
| 04013-RANCHO MIRAGE | Republican | R+2.8 | 6,375 |
| 04013-DESERT OASIS | Republican | R+43.0 | 6,255 |
| 04013-GREER RANCH | Republican | R+22.0 | 6,243 |
| 04013-EL MIRAGE | Democratic | D+5.7 | 6,039 |
| 04013-FALCON | Republican | R+5.1 | 5,781 |
| 04013-LISBON | Republican | R+17.9 | 5,519 |
| 04013-WITTMANN | Republican | R+58.6 | 5,471 |
| 04013-ASANTE | Republican | R+49.1 | 5,463 |
| 04013-BANFF | Republican | R+15.9 | 5,400 |
| 04013-MARLEY PARK | Republican | R+18.4 | 5,374 |
| 04013-WIGWAM CREEK | Republican | R+9.1 | 4,911 |
All 47 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 29 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 29 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 29 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 29?
Steve Montenegro (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 29?
R+20.3 — 87,311 Democratic, 131,732 Republican, of 219,218 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.