electionsmcp › races › Arizona Governor
Arizona Governor
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Current officeholder
Katie Hobbs Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
Governor
Who lives in Arizona
Arizona is home to about 7,268,175 people, median age 38.8, median household income $76,872.
Population
7,268,175
Median age
38.8
Median household income
$76,872
Bachelor's degree or higher
32.6%
Race & ethnicity: White 53.4% · Black 4.6% · Hispanic 31% · Asian 3.4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona Governor in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona Governor (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona Governor in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona Governor?
Katie Hobbs (Democratic) currently holds this Governor seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona Governor?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.