electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 23
Arizona State Senate District 23
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 23 →
Current officeholder
Brian Fernandez Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+7.6
2024 votes cast
79,319
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
62 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 23's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04019-Precinct 041 | Democratic | D+22.8 | 5,519 |
| 04013-DESERT THUNDER | Democratic | D+1.1 | 4,234 |
| 04013-WILDFLOWER | Democratic | D+8.3 | 4,085 |
| 04013-ESTRELLA FOOTHILLS | Republican | R+9.8 | 3,602 |
| 04013-WILLIS | Republican | R+19.6 | 3,552 |
| 04013-DESERT EDGE | Republican | R+0.2 | 3,405 |
| 04013-LILAC | Republican | R+0.8 | 3,284 |
| 04019-Precinct 235 | Democratic | D+34.2 | 3,213 |
| 04013-WESTAR | Republican | R+20.7 | 3,146 |
| 04013-GETTY | Republican | R+5.6 | 2,193 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 018 | Democratic | D+0.3 | 1,847 |
| 04013-RAINBOW VALLEY | Republican | R+26.4 | 1,773 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 011 | Republican | R+11.0 | 1,759 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 012 | Republican | R+10.5 | 1,719 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 037 | Democratic | D+35.9 | 1,704 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 008 | Republican | R+13.5 | 1,669 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 039 | Democratic | D+39.1 | 1,645 |
| 04013-DESERT BLOSSOM | Republican | R+21.6 | 1,628 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 035 | Democratic | D+18.5 | 1,549 |
| 04027-PRECINCT 040 | Democratic | D+43.1 | 1,546 |
All 62 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 23 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 23 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 23 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 23?
Brian Fernandez (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 23?
D+7.6 — 42,658 Democratic, 36,602 Republican, of 79,319 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.