electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 9
Arizona State Senate District 9
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 9 →
Current officeholder
Kiana Sears Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+3.5
2024 votes cast
81,458
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
39 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 9's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-PILGRIM | Republican | R+2.7 | 4,317 |
| 04013-DOBSON RANCH | Democratic | D+12.8 | 3,916 |
| 04013-CRISMON | Democratic | D+6.8 | 3,787 |
| 04013-SUN TRAILS | Republican | R+19.0 | 3,634 |
| 04013-HARMONY PARK | Republican | R+14.8 | 3,461 |
| 04013-ARBOLEDA | Republican | R+37.1 | 3,309 |
| 04013-WOODGLEN | Democratic | D+15.4 | 2,959 |
| 04013-KLEINMAN | Democratic | D+24.1 | 2,872 |
| 04013-ESQUIRE | Democratic | D+28.1 | 2,775 |
| 04013-INDIAN SPRINGS | Democratic | D+32.9 | 2,775 |
| 04013-WATER WORKS | Democratic | D+6.2 | 2,678 |
| 04013-MESA VISTA | Republican | R+4.3 | 2,641 |
| 04013-CANDLELIGHT | Republican | R+25.8 | 2,563 |
| 04013-COVINA | Republican | R+23.1 | 2,511 |
| 04013-HERITAGE | Democratic | D+20.4 | 2,455 |
| 04013-OLD WEST | Democratic | D+0.3 | 2,434 |
| 04013-CARRIAGE LANE | Democratic | D+9.8 | 2,410 |
| 04013-LOS ALAMOS | Republican | R+31.1 | 2,311 |
| 04013-GUERRERO | Democratic | D+29.4 | 2,065 |
| 04013-HOHOKAM PARK | Democratic | D+14.1 | 2,039 |
All 39 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 9 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 9 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 9 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 9?
Kiana Sears (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 9?
D+3.5 — 42,072 Democratic, 39,261 Republican, of 81,458 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.