electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 3
Arizona State Senate District 3
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 3 →
Current officeholder
John Kavanagh Republican
2024 result
Republican R+98.0
2024 votes cast
112,337
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
58 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 3's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-RIO VERDE | Republican | R+99.0 | 4,830 |
| 04013-DIXILETA | Republican | R+97.7 | 3,974 |
| 04013-DEADMAN WASH | Republican | R+98.5 | 3,835 |
| 04013-NEW RIVER | Republican | R+98.0 | 3,453 |
| 04013-WESTWORLD | Republican | R+97.7 | 3,435 |
| 04013-GRANITE MOUNTAIN | Republican | R+98.8 | 3,294 |
| 04013-TERRAVITA | Republican | R+99.0 | 3,244 |
| 04013-DESERT HILLS | Republican | R+98.3 | 3,093 |
| 04013-PINNACLE PEAK | Republican | R+98.7 | 2,914 |
| 04013-GOLDEN EAGLE | Republican | R+97.2 | 2,693 |
| 04013-SILVER SPUR | Republican | R+97.2 | 2,669 |
| 04013-FOUR PEAKS | Republican | R+97.1 | 2,637 |
| 04013-DC RANCH | Republican | R+97.9 | 2,623 |
| 04013-SAGUARO | Republican | R+97.6 | 2,547 |
| 04013-BOULDER MOUNTAIN | Republican | R+98.5 | 2,530 |
| 04013-CAVE CREEK | Republican | R+98.8 | 2,512 |
| 04013-WOLF RUN | Republican | R+98.6 | 2,467 |
| 04013-MOUNTAINSIDE | Republican | R+98.7 | 2,389 |
| 04013-GAVILAN PEAK | Republican | R+97.3 | 2,371 |
| 04013-BRONCO | Republican | R+98.3 | 2,323 |
All 58 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 3 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 3 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 3 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 3?
John Kavanagh (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 3?
R+98.0 — 0 Democratic, 110,048 Republican, of 112,337 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.