electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 2
Arizona State Senate District 2
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 2 →
Current officeholder
Shawnna Bolick Republican
2024 result
Republican R+3.7
2024 votes cast
102,607
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
48 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 2's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-BLUEBIRD | Democratic | D+5.0 | 4,250 |
| 04013-MONTE CRISTO | Democratic | D+3.7 | 3,773 |
| 04013-GIDIYUP | Republican | R+16.2 | 3,557 |
| 04013-NORTERRA | Republican | R+10.6 | 3,543 |
| 04013-MOUNTAIN SKY | Democratic | D+10.3 | 3,296 |
| 04013-BUFFALO RIDGE | Republican | R+5.6 | 3,125 |
| 04013-KINGS | Republican | R+4.2 | 3,125 |
| 04013-QUAIL RUN | Republican | R+0.3 | 2,721 |
| 04013-SUNRISE | Republican | R+2.4 | 2,711 |
| 04013-PALOMINO | Democratic | D+9.2 | 2,697 |
| 04013-ROSE GARDEN | Republican | R+10.3 | 2,657 |
| 04013-BLACKHAWK | Republican | R+7.1 | 2,588 |
| 04013-MOUNTAIN GATE | Republican | R+7.2 | 2,569 |
| 04013-BLUEFIELD | Republican | R+12.1 | 2,560 |
| 04013-VISTA | Democratic | D+5.8 | 2,556 |
| 04013-DESERT BELL | Democratic | D+11.5 | 2,544 |
| 04013-SHEENA | Democratic | D+6.3 | 2,516 |
| 04013-LOLA | Republican | R+0.4 | 2,452 |
| 04013-TARO | Republican | R+7.9 | 2,439 |
| 04013-MOON VALLEY | Republican | R+5.3 | 2,436 |
All 48 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 2 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 2 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 2 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 2?
Shawnna Bolick (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 2?
R+3.7 — 48,333 Democratic, 52,100 Republican, of 102,607 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.