electionsmcp › races › Arizona State Senate District 11
Arizona State Senate District 11
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State Senate District 11 →
Current officeholder
Catherine Miranda Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+44.3
2024 votes cast
72,308
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
37 precincts reported in Arizona State Senate District 11's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-ROESER | Democratic | D+49.5 | 3,568 |
| 04013-ARDMORE | Democratic | D+41.7 | 3,389 |
| 04013-OLNEY | Democratic | D+25.1 | 3,113 |
| 04013-SUMMERSIDE | Democratic | D+19.5 | 3,022 |
| 04013-EUCLID | Democratic | D+37.5 | 2,985 |
| 04013-HIDALGO | Democratic | D+42.5 | 2,959 |
| 04013-CARVER | Democratic | D+34.8 | 2,846 |
| 04013-VINEYARD | Democratic | D+30.9 | 2,666 |
| 04013-TRAILSIDE | Democratic | D+37.9 | 2,574 |
| 04013-ELWOOD | Democratic | D+45.6 | 2,568 |
| 04013-HERMOSA | Democratic | D+63.0 | 2,499 |
| 04013-GARDEN GROVES | Democratic | D+34.2 | 2,433 |
| 04013-HOPE | Democratic | D+58.7 | 2,402 |
| 04013-DESERT MEADOWS | Democratic | D+39.6 | 2,287 |
| 04013-ELLIS | Democratic | D+48.9 | 2,139 |
| 04013-LASSEN | Democratic | D+45.4 | 2,127 |
| 04013-SOUTHERN | Democratic | D+60.4 | 2,082 |
| 04013-CHEATHAM | Democratic | D+40.9 | 2,000 |
| 04013-SIERRA VISTA | Democratic | D+54.3 | 1,966 |
| 04013-GREENFIELD | Democratic | D+51.2 | 1,886 |
All 37 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State Senate District 11 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State Senate District 11 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State Senate District 11 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State Senate District 11?
Catherine Miranda (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State Senate District 11?
D+44.3 — 52,106 Democratic, 20,095 Republican, of 72,308 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.