electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 9
Arizona State House District 9
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 9 →
Current officeholder
Seth Blattman Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+3.0
2024 votes cast
147,432
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
39 precincts reported in Arizona State House District 9's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-PILGRIM | Republican | R+2.8 | 7,701 |
| 04013-DOBSON RANCH | Democratic | D+12.9 | 7,257 |
| 04013-CRISMON | Democratic | D+7.2 | 6,975 |
| 04013-SUN TRAILS | Republican | R+19.3 | 6,558 |
| 04013-HARMONY PARK | Republican | R+14.2 | 6,309 |
| 04013-ARBOLEDA | Republican | R+38.7 | 6,140 |
| 04013-WOODGLEN | Democratic | D+16.1 | 5,441 |
| 04013-KLEINMAN | Democratic | D+23.9 | 5,098 |
| 04013-ESQUIRE | Democratic | D+28.1 | 4,965 |
| 04013-WATER WORKS | Democratic | D+8.7 | 4,964 |
| 04013-INDIAN SPRINGS | Democratic | D+33.2 | 4,929 |
| 04013-MESA VISTA | Republican | R+3.5 | 4,804 |
| 04013-CANDLELIGHT | Republican | R+29.4 | 4,687 |
| 04013-COVINA | Republican | R+25.1 | 4,570 |
| 04013-CARRIAGE LANE | Democratic | D+11.4 | 4,392 |
| 04013-HERITAGE | Democratic | D+21.2 | 4,379 |
| 04013-OLD WEST | Republican | R+1.3 | 4,334 |
| 04013-LOS ALAMOS | Republican | R+32.9 | 4,241 |
| 04013-HOHOKAM PARK | Democratic | D+14.5 | 3,675 |
| 04013-GUERRERO | Democratic | D+29.2 | 3,649 |
All 39 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 9 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 9 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 9 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 9?
Seth Blattman (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 9?
D+3.0 — 75,864 Democratic, 71,448 Republican, of 147,432 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.