electionsmcp › races › Arizona State House District 2
Arizona State House District 2
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona State House District 2 →
Current officeholder
Stephanie Simacek Democratic
2024 result
Republican R+29.1
2024 votes cast
157,732
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
48 precincts reported in Arizona State House District 2's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04013-BLUEBIRD | Democratic | R+20.9 | 6,362 |
| 04013-MONTE CRISTO | Democratic | R+24.5 | 5,780 |
| 04013-GIDIYUP | Republican | R+39.5 | 5,531 |
| 04013-NORTERRA | Republican | R+35.0 | 5,529 |
| 04013-MOUNTAIN SKY | Democratic | R+18.3 | 4,975 |
| 04013-KINGS | Republican | R+28.6 | 4,902 |
| 04013-BUFFALO RIDGE | Republican | R+30.7 | 4,822 |
| 04013-QUAIL RUN | Democratic | R+27.1 | 4,236 |
| 04013-SUNRISE | Democratic | R+27.5 | 4,183 |
| 04013-ROSE GARDEN | Republican | R+33.1 | 4,089 |
| 04013-MOUNTAIN GATE | Republican | R+32.9 | 4,052 |
| 04013-PALOMINO | Democratic | R+17.1 | 4,033 |
| 04013-BLUEFIELD | Republican | R+35.5 | 3,980 |
| 04013-BLACKHAWK | Republican | R+30.2 | 3,961 |
| 04013-VISTA | Democratic | R+21.3 | 3,910 |
| 04013-SHEENA | Democratic | R+22.9 | 3,860 |
| 04013-MOON VALLEY | Republican | R+33.7 | 3,792 |
| 04013-DANBURY | Republican | R+42.1 | 3,784 |
| 04013-TARO | Republican | R+32.0 | 3,778 |
| 04013-DESERT BELL | Democratic | R+15.7 | 3,728 |
All 48 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona State House District 2 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona State House District 2 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona State House District 2 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arizona State House District 2?
Stephanie Simacek (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arizona State House District 2?
R+29.1 — 47,801 Democratic, 93,752 Republican, of 157,732 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.