electionsmcp › races › California State Senate District 3
California State Senate District 3
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State Senate District 3 →
Current officeholder
Christopher Cabaldon Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+20.0
2024 votes cast
307,528
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
1,059 precincts reported in California State Senate District 3's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06095-21130 | Democratic | D+28.6 | 2,831 |
| 06095-35057 | Democratic | D+38.0 | 2,743 |
| 06095-21020 | Democratic | D+35.9 | 2,536 |
| 06095-54025 | Democratic | D+31.7 | 2,383 |
| 06095-21045 | Democratic | D+42.6 | 2,349 |
| 06095-46270 | Democratic | D+12.9 | 2,309 |
| 06095-56130 | Democratic | D+8.9 | 2,285 |
| 06095-21090 | Democratic | D+41.4 | 2,207 |
| 06095-17220 | Democratic | D+51.1 | 2,177 |
| 06095-17288 | Democratic | D+46.4 | 2,088 |
| 06095-56020 | Republican | R+0.7 | 2,047 |
| 06095-56190 | Republican | R+2.8 | 2,042 |
| 06095-53005 | Democratic | D+26.5 | 2,023 |
| 06095-46320 | Republican | R+0.1 | 1,978 |
| 06095-56125 | Democratic | D+6.7 | 1,978 |
| 06095-56205 | Democratic | D+5.6 | 1,935 |
| 06095-35035 | Democratic | D+36.5 | 1,927 |
| 06013-BREN129A | Democratic | D+11.5 | 1,875 |
| 06095-17300 | Democratic | D+50.5 | 1,861 |
| 06095-54020 | Democratic | D+34.5 | 1,845 |
All 1,059 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State Senate District 3 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State Senate District 3 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State Senate District 3 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State Senate District 3?
Christopher Cabaldon (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State Senate District 3?
D+20.0 — 184,461 Democratic, 123,067 Republican, of 307,528 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.