electionsmcp › races › California's 43rd Congressional District
California's 43rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California's 43rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Maxine Waters Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+50.2
2024 votes cast
213,101
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Maxine Waters's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
6.3estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 734,451 people, median age 35.1, median household income $72,638.
Population
734,451
Median age
35.1
Median household income
$72,638
Bachelor's degree or higher
22.1%
Race & ethnicity: White 6.8% · Black 23.1% · Hispanic 58.3% · Asian 8.8%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
402 precincts reported in California's 43rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06037-7150016AA | Democratic | D+26.8 | 2,590 |
| 06037-7150025AA | Democratic | D+22.9 | 2,445 |
| 06037-7150137BA | Democratic | D+23.6 | 2,436 |
| 06037-7150006AA | Democratic | D+30.2 | 2,187 |
| 06037-2500043AA | Democratic | D+35.4 | 2,182 |
| 06037-2080005AA | Democratic | D+32.7 | 2,143 |
| 06037-7150048AA | Democratic | D+18.5 | 2,082 |
| 06037-2500052AA | Democratic | D+37.1 | 2,022 |
| 06037-2950152AA | Democratic | D+87.6 | 2,005 |
| 06037-1680004AA | Democratic | D+33.8 | 1,977 |
| 06037-2500010AA | Democratic | D+32.6 | 1,962 |
| 06037-7150008BA | Democratic | D+24.9 | 1,954 |
| 06037-7150091AA | Democratic | D+20.0 | 1,949 |
| 06037-2700039AA | Democratic | D+32.8 | 1,892 |
| 06037-7150041AA | Democratic | D+27.3 | 1,849 |
| 06037-2950084AA | Democratic | D+71.3 | 1,825 |
| 06037-2700025AA | Democratic | D+39.3 | 1,785 |
| 06037-2500018AA | Democratic | D+40.1 | 1,691 |
| 06037-2950032AA | Democratic | D+71.3 | 1,670 |
| 06037-2500020AA | Democratic | D+54.6 | 1,639 |
All 402 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California's 43rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 43rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California's 43rd Congressional District in the simulator →