electionsmcp › races › California State House District 16
California State House District 16
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 16 →
Current officeholder
Rebecca Bauer-Kahan Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+28.3
2024 votes cast
250,827
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
421 precincts reported in California State House District 16's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06001-501610A | Democratic | D+18.3 | 3,795 |
| 06001-500110A | Democratic | D+22.2 | 3,455 |
| 06001-500350A | Democratic | D+28.5 | 3,218 |
| 06001-502900A | Democratic | D+25.9 | 2,937 |
| 06001-501910A | Democratic | D+31.0 | 2,819 |
| 06001-502500A | Democratic | D+31.5 | 2,795 |
| 06001-502020A | Democratic | D+22.4 | 2,705 |
| 06001-520500A | Democratic | D+36.3 | 2,574 |
| 06001-500800A | Democratic | D+31.2 | 2,567 |
| 06013-ORDA105A | Democratic | D+43.3 | 2,539 |
| 06001-500300A | Democratic | D+24.1 | 2,531 |
| 06001-547720A | Democratic | D+30.4 | 2,526 |
| 06001-502300A | Democratic | D+30.3 | 2,466 |
| 06013-DANV113A | Democratic | D+18.5 | 2,453 |
| 06001-500200A | Democratic | D+29.8 | 2,449 |
| 06013-WLCR131A | Democratic | D+55.7 | 2,424 |
| 06013-SARA104A | Democratic | D+52.3 | 2,332 |
| 06013-WLCR117A | Democratic | D+56.4 | 2,305 |
| 06013-DANV103A | Democratic | D+14.1 | 2,281 |
| 06013-MORG101A | Democratic | D+49.0 | 2,247 |
All 421 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 16 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 16 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 16 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 16?
Rebecca Bauer-Kahan (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 16?
D+28.3 — 160,877 Democratic, 89,950 Republican, of 250,827 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.