electionsmcp › races › California's 33rd Congressional District
California's 33rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California's 33rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Pete Aguilar Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+17.6
2024 votes cast
233,036
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Pete Aguilar's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
7.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 759,341 people, median age 33.3, median household income $83,261.
Population
759,341
Median age
33.3
Median household income
$83,261
Bachelor's degree or higher
20.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 17.3% · Black 9.7% · Hispanic 62.8% · Asian 6.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
397 precincts reported in California's 33rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06071-1211 | Democratic | D+0.2 | 2,897 |
| 06071-1216 | Democratic | D+3.5 | 2,748 |
| 06071-1006 | Republican | R+1.0 | 2,734 |
| 06071-1044 | Democratic | D+4.5 | 2,665 |
| 06071-1499 | Democratic | D+19.5 | 2,580 |
| 06071-1095 | Democratic | D+27.3 | 2,499 |
| 06071-1046 | Democratic | D+0.7 | 2,452 |
| 06071-1023 | Democratic | D+16.1 | 2,436 |
| 06071-1497 | Democratic | D+26.2 | 2,361 |
| 06071-1500 | Democratic | D+15.9 | 2,303 |
| 06071-1027 | Democratic | D+16.9 | 2,129 |
| 06071-1015 | Democratic | D+8.7 | 2,120 |
| 06071-1442 | Democratic | D+16.9 | 2,106 |
| 06071-1091 | Democratic | D+13.1 | 2,021 |
| 06071-1215 | Republican | R+0.6 | 1,979 |
| 06071-1239 | Republican | R+2.0 | 1,891 |
| 06071-1230 | Democratic | D+3.4 | 1,845 |
| 06071-1506 | Democratic | D+21.2 | 1,840 |
| 06071-1296 | Democratic | D+8.7 | 1,723 |
| 06071-1437 | Democratic | D+14.0 | 1,717 |
All 397 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California's 33rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 33rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California's 33rd Congressional District in the simulator →