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California's 10th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.

Model California's 10th Congressional District →

California's 10th Congressional District — highlighted within California's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+33.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Mark DeSaulnier Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+33.0

2024 votes cast

363,752

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 756,742 people, median age 41, median household income $152,089.

Population

756,742

Median age

41

Median household income

$152,089

Bachelor's degree or higher

55.2%

Race & ethnicity: White 47.4% · Black 5.3% · Hispanic 17.9% · Asian 22.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

868 precincts reported in California's 10th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
06013-ORDA105A Democratic D+52.9 2,589
06001-547720A Democratic D+32.5 2,547
06013-DANV113A Democratic D+25.2 2,489
06013-WLCR131A Democratic D+59.1 2,458
06013-SARA104A Democratic D+58.1 2,361
06013-WLCR117A Democratic D+60.4 2,358
06013-DANV103A Democratic D+21.8 2,310
06013-MORG101A Democratic D+55.9 2,305
06013-SRAM129A Democratic D+34.6 2,254
06013-DANV105A Democratic D+13.7 2,221
06013-ALMO108A Democratic D+15.3 2,209
06013-ORDA101A Democratic D+55.5 2,172
06013-LFET111A Democratic D+50.2 2,147
06001-546100A Democratic D+45.4 2,144
06013-LFET109A Democratic D+61.4 2,118
06013-SRAM126A Democratic D+27.4 2,109
06013-WLCR103A Democratic D+49.5 2,107
06013-LFET106A Democratic D+57.6 2,094
06013-WLKN101A Democratic D+46.9 2,087
06013-DANV111A Democratic D+30.8 2,065

All 868 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model California's 10th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 10th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open California's 10th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents California's 10th Congressional District?
Mark DeSaulnier (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California's 10th Congressional District?
D+33.0 — 241,926 Democratic, 121,826 Republican, of 363,752 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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