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California's 41st Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.

Model California's 41st Congressional District →

California's 41st Congressional District — highlighted within California's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+3.3 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Ken Calvert Republican

2024 result

Republican R+3.3

2024 votes cast

353,986

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Ken Calvert's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#260 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

4.5estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 781,445 people, median age 40.5, median household income $100,117.

Population

781,445

Median age

40.5

Median household income

$100,117

Bachelor's degree or higher

30.5%

Race & ethnicity: White 42.4% · Black 5.2% · Hispanic 39.6% · Asian 8%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

647 precincts reported in California's 41st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
06065-460026A Democratic D+24.3 3,035
06065-301015A Republican R+2.7 2,961
06065-228800A Republican R+18.2 2,848
06065-230013A Republican R+41.1 2,827
06065-270011A Republican R+47.3 2,796
06065-460007A Republican R+7.5 2,659
06065-430023A Democratic D+22.8 2,604
06065-255026A Republican R+14.0 2,532
06065-301005A Republican R+1.5 2,495
06065-304045A Democratic D+0.6 2,478
06065-229031A Republican R+10.2 2,457
06065-415109A Democratic D+71.4 2,449
06065-230009A Republican R+43.9 2,423
06065-252024A Democratic D+21.6 2,404
06065-412108A Democratic D+64.1 2,404
06065-460030A Democratic D+19.7 2,375
06065-255021A Republican R+13.7 2,301
06065-414105A Democratic D+65.9 2,301
06065-460039A Republican R+14.9 2,268
06065-413112A Democratic D+73.9 2,261

All 647 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model California's 41st Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 41st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open California's 41st Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents California's 41st Congressional District?
Ken Calvert (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California's 41st Congressional District?
R+3.3 — 171,093 Democratic, 182,893 Republican, of 353,986 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for California's 41st Congressional District?
California's 41st Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 4.5 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 260 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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