electionsmcp › races › California's 23rd Congressional District
California's 23rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California's 23rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Jay Obernolte Republican
2024 result
Republican R+20.2
2024 votes cast
263,272
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Jay Obernolte's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
7.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 765,033 people, median age 34.5, median household income $71,862.
Population
765,033
Median age
34.5
Median household income
$71,862
Bachelor's degree or higher
20.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 39.1% · Black 8.3% · Hispanic 43.2% · Asian 4.4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
1,307 precincts reported in California's 23rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06071-AP20335A | Republican | R+23.3 | 2,647 |
| 06071-RE11270A | Democratic | D+17.1 | 2,441 |
| 06071-UNI0053A | Republican | R+33.0 | 2,172 |
| 06071-AP20336A | Republican | R+33.6 | 2,006 |
| 06071-UNI0764A | Republican | R+43.9 | 1,961 |
| 06071-AP10313A | Republican | R+38.0 | 1,958 |
| 06071-RE51259A | Republican | R+11.0 | 1,930 |
| 06071-VI20499A | Democratic | D+16.2 | 1,825 |
| 06071-UNI0349A | Republican | R+39.0 | 1,717 |
| 06071-RE11269A | Democratic | D+20.9 | 1,662 |
| 06071-YU20906A | Republican | R+35.1 | 1,630 |
| 06071-RE51260A | Democratic | D+18.3 | 1,610 |
| 06071-VI40379A | Republican | R+2.2 | 1,524 |
| 06071-YU10918A | Republican | R+37.0 | 1,489 |
| 06071-VI10356A | Republican | R+12.2 | 1,454 |
| 06071-RE41311A | Republican | R+14.8 | 1,451 |
| 06071-ADE0420A | Democratic | D+11.7 | 1,449 |
| 06071-LL41251A | Republican | R+3.1 | 1,435 |
| 06071-YU50914A | Republican | R+33.2 | 1,402 |
| 06071-AP40333A | Republican | R+24.1 | 1,394 |
All 1,307 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California's 23rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 23rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California's 23rd Congressional District in the simulator →