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California's 23rd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.

Model California's 23rd Congressional District →

California's 23rd Congressional District — highlighted within California's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+20.2 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Jay Obernolte Republican

2024 result

Republican R+20.2

2024 votes cast

263,272

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Jay Obernolte's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#143 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

7.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 765,033 people, median age 34.5, median household income $71,862.

Population

765,033

Median age

34.5

Median household income

$71,862

Bachelor's degree or higher

20.9%

Race & ethnicity: White 39.1% · Black 8.3% · Hispanic 43.2% · Asian 4.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

1,307 precincts reported in California's 23rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
06071-AP20335A Republican R+23.3 2,647
06071-RE11270A Democratic D+17.1 2,441
06071-UNI0053A Republican R+33.0 2,172
06071-AP20336A Republican R+33.6 2,006
06071-UNI0764A Republican R+43.9 1,961
06071-AP10313A Republican R+38.0 1,958
06071-RE51259A Republican R+11.0 1,930
06071-VI20499A Democratic D+16.2 1,825
06071-UNI0349A Republican R+39.0 1,717
06071-RE11269A Democratic D+20.9 1,662
06071-YU20906A Republican R+35.1 1,630
06071-RE51260A Democratic D+18.3 1,610
06071-VI40379A Republican R+2.2 1,524
06071-YU10918A Republican R+37.0 1,489
06071-VI10356A Republican R+12.2 1,454
06071-RE41311A Republican R+14.8 1,451
06071-ADE0420A Democratic D+11.7 1,449
06071-LL41251A Republican R+3.1 1,435
06071-YU50914A Republican R+33.2 1,402
06071-AP40333A Republican R+24.1 1,394

All 1,307 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model California's 23rd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 23rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open California's 23rd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents California's 23rd Congressional District?
Jay Obernolte (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California's 23rd Congressional District?
R+20.2 — 105,065 Democratic, 158,207 Republican, of 263,272 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for California's 23rd Congressional District?
California's 23rd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 7.0 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 143 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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