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California's 3rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California's 3rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Kevin Kiley Republican
2024 result
Republican R+10.9
2024 votes cast
421,855
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Kevin Kiley's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
2.7estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 770,955 people, median age 43.6, median household income $103,981.
Population
770,955
Median age
43.6
Median household income
$103,981
Bachelor's degree or higher
40.8%
Race & ethnicity: White 69.2% · Black 1.7% · Hispanic 14.8% · Asian 7.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
966 precincts reported in California's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06061-0254403A | Democratic | D+2.1 | 2,003 |
| 06061-0157408A | Republican | R+3.5 | 1,988 |
| 06061-0157401A | Republican | R+1.2 | 1,934 |
| 06061-0254408A | Republican | R+1.4 | 1,921 |
| 06061-0552002A | Republican | R+0.6 | 1,867 |
| 06061-0254401A | Democratic | D+1.1 | 1,861 |
| 06061-0356047A | Republican | R+7.1 | 1,830 |
| 06061-0257511A | Democratic | D+7.7 | 1,807 |
| 06061-0257528A | Democratic | D+1.8 | 1,737 |
| 06061-0457303A | Republican | R+11.2 | 1,735 |
| 06061-0257501A | Republican | R+0.6 | 1,733 |
| 06061-0451202A | Republican | R+10.7 | 1,699 |
| 06061-0356036A | Republican | R+2.7 | 1,665 |
| 06061-0457203A | Republican | R+8.2 | 1,649 |
| 06061-0551466A | Republican | R+24.5 | 1,640 |
| 06061-0157506A | Republican | R+6.8 | 1,629 |
| 06057-CP02A | Republican | R+18.7 | 1,622 |
| 06061-0257513A | Democratic | D+12.7 | 1,615 |
| 06061-0457109A | Republican | R+17.8 | 1,606 |
| 06061-0257517A | Democratic | D+0.9 | 1,603 |
All 966 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California's 3rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →