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California's 3rd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.

Model California's 3rd Congressional District →

California's 3rd Congressional District — highlighted within California's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+10.9 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Kevin Kiley Republican

2024 result

Republican R+10.9

2024 votes cast

421,855

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Kevin Kiley's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#356 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

2.7estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage92.7%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 770,955 people, median age 43.6, median household income $103,981.

Population

770,955

Median age

43.6

Median household income

$103,981

Bachelor's degree or higher

40.8%

Race & ethnicity: White 69.2% · Black 1.7% · Hispanic 14.8% · Asian 7.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

966 precincts reported in California's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
06061-0254403A Democratic D+2.1 2,003
06061-0157408A Republican R+3.5 1,988
06061-0157401A Republican R+1.2 1,934
06061-0254408A Republican R+1.4 1,921
06061-0552002A Republican R+0.6 1,867
06061-0254401A Democratic D+1.1 1,861
06061-0356047A Republican R+7.1 1,830
06061-0257511A Democratic D+7.7 1,807
06061-0257528A Democratic D+1.8 1,737
06061-0457303A Republican R+11.2 1,735
06061-0257501A Republican R+0.6 1,733
06061-0451202A Republican R+10.7 1,699
06061-0356036A Republican R+2.7 1,665
06061-0457203A Republican R+8.2 1,649
06061-0551466A Republican R+24.5 1,640
06061-0157506A Republican R+6.8 1,629
06057-CP02A Republican R+18.7 1,622
06061-0257513A Democratic D+12.7 1,615
06061-0457109A Republican R+17.8 1,606
06061-0257517A Democratic D+0.9 1,603

All 966 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model California's 3rd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open California's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents California's 3rd Congressional District?
Kevin Kiley (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California's 3rd Congressional District?
R+10.9 — 187,960 Democratic, 233,895 Republican, of 421,855 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for California's 3rd Congressional District?
California's 3rd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 2.7 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 356 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 92.7%.

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