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California's 31st Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.

Model California's 31st Congressional District →

California's 31st Congressional District — highlighted within California's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+19.5 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+19.5

2024 votes cast

247,754

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 741,057 people, median age 38.9, median household income $90,026.

Population

741,057

Median age

38.9

Median household income

$90,026

Bachelor's degree or higher

25%

Race & ethnicity: White 14.1% · Black 2.7% · Hispanic 60.8% · Asian 19.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

516 precincts reported in California's 31st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
06037-6000003AA Republican R+2.6 2,645
06037-3400011BA Democratic D+17.4 2,479
06037-3400050AA Republican R+10.0 2,364
06037-3400004AA Democratic D+14.9 2,314
06037-4400037AA Democratic D+43.4 2,252
06037-7700155BA Democratic D+23.5 2,194
06037-7700073AA Democratic D+37.1 2,071
06037-0550030AA Democratic D+26.5 2,067
06037-2600106AA Democratic D+18.6 2,055
06037-3400010AA Republican R+5.2 2,010
06037-4400061AA Democratic D+49.1 1,848
06037-4400001AA Democratic D+41.0 1,827
06037-6000011AA Democratic D+9.7 1,812
06037-2600040AA Democratic D+11.3 1,791
06037-7700040AA Democratic D+30.0 1,755
06037-7700024BA Democratic D+21.4 1,750
06037-5500012AA Democratic D+36.2 1,699
06037-1500036AA Democratic D+19.9 1,620
06037-0550073AA Democratic D+32.4 1,610
06037-7700115AA Democratic D+27.8 1,565

All 516 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model California's 31st Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 31st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open California's 31st Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents California's 31st Congressional District?
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California's 31st Congressional District?
D+19.5 — 147,978 Democratic, 99,776 Republican, of 247,754 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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