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California's 38th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.

Model California's 38th Congressional District →

California's 38th Congressional District — highlighted within California's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+19.7 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Linda T. Sánchez Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+19.7

2024 votes cast

275,862

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Linda T. Sánchez's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#195 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

6.1estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 744,868 people, median age 39.9, median household income $97,406.

Population

744,868

Median age

39.9

Median household income

$97,406

Bachelor's degree or higher

30%

Race & ethnicity: White 13.9% · Black 2.2% · Hispanic 59.8% · Asian 21.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

433 precincts reported in California's 38th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
06037-7600032AA Republican R+0.2 2,897
06037-2630159AA Democratic D+11.2 2,425
06037-1780008BA Democratic D+6.8 2,385
06037-7800012AA Democratic D+41.2 2,318
06037-3300042AA Democratic D+9.8 2,245
06037-7800185AA Democratic D+29.1 2,218
06059-17290A Democratic D+12.5 2,130
06037-1780063AA Democratic D+16.1 2,066
06037-7600033AA Democratic D+4.8 2,066
06037-2630049AA Democratic D+13.9 2,058
06037-3300026AA Democratic D+2.8 2,048
06037-1780001AA Republican R+2.6 2,035
06037-1780067BA Democratic D+11.0 2,034
06037-1780072AA Democratic D+25.1 1,949
06059-17251A Democratic D+10.8 1,932
06037-5850211AA Republican R+6.0 1,900
06037-7800057AA Democratic D+7.3 1,895
06037-7800022BA Democratic D+36.2 1,882
06037-2630192AA Democratic D+22.9 1,881
06037-7800064AA Democratic D+29.9 1,869

All 433 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model California's 38th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 38th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open California's 38th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents California's 38th Congressional District?
Linda T. Sánchez (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California's 38th Congressional District?
D+19.7 — 165,070 Democratic, 110,792 Republican, of 275,862 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for California's 38th Congressional District?
California's 38th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 6.1 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 195 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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