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California's 9th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.

Model California's 9th Congressional District →

California's 9th Congressional District — highlighted within California's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+3.6 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Josh Harder Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+3.6

2024 votes cast

251,099

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Josh Harder's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#78 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

9.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 767,049 people, median age 35.4, median household income $88,713.

Population

767,049

Median age

35.4

Median household income

$88,713

Bachelor's degree or higher

21.6%

Race & ethnicity: White 29.1% · Black 7% · Hispanic 42.1% · Asian 17%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

440 precincts reported in California's 9th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
06077-0033518A Democratic D+17.1 2,921
06077-0042406A Republican R+11.8 2,715
06077-0011309A Democratic D+12.5 2,680
06077-0054318A Democratic D+17.4 2,561
06077-0033535A Democratic D+18.1 2,444
06077-0033525A Democratic D+26.0 2,417
06077-0011407A Democratic D+14.7 2,409
06077-0011304A Democratic D+14.7 2,388
06077-0042419A Republican R+19.2 2,280
06077-0033540A Democratic D+34.4 2,265
06077-0033502A Democratic D+19.6 2,240
06077-0054307A Democratic D+11.2 2,228
06077-0054351A Democratic D+4.4 2,201
06077-0010244A Democratic D+27.4 2,147
06077-0033506A Democratic D+15.3 2,099
06077-0042426A Republican R+4.4 2,087
06077-0011209A Democratic D+21.4 2,052
06077-0054326A Democratic D+6.9 2,052
06077-0054353A Democratic D+13.0 2,029
06077-0074501A Republican R+34.2 1,979

All 440 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model California's 9th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 9th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open California's 9th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents California's 9th Congressional District?
Josh Harder (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California's 9th Congressional District?
D+3.6 — 130,093 Democratic, 121,006 Republican, of 251,099 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for California's 9th Congressional District?
California's 9th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 9.0 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 78 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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