electionsmcp › races › California's 46th Congressional District
California's 46th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California's 46th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Luis Correa Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+26.9
2024 votes cast
211,292
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Luis Correa's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
2.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 756,572 people, median age 34.7, median household income $85,443.
Population
756,572
Median age
34.7
Median household income
$85,443
Bachelor's degree or higher
22.3%
Race & ethnicity: White 14.7% · Black 1.8% · Hispanic 65.5% · Asian 15.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
345 precincts reported in California's 46th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06059-104321 | Democratic | D+19.3 | 2,861 |
| 06059-102449 | Democratic | D+43.1 | 2,585 |
| 06059-102689 | Democratic | D+14.5 | 2,340 |
| 06059-104364 | Democratic | D+36.0 | 2,258 |
| 06059-102413 | Democratic | D+30.1 | 2,243 |
| 06059-102416 | Democratic | D+17.2 | 2,238 |
| 06059-104356 | Democratic | D+17.2 | 2,219 |
| 06059-102408 | Democratic | D+30.9 | 2,194 |
| 06059-102396 | Democratic | D+38.5 | 2,190 |
| 06059-104317 | Democratic | D+10.5 | 2,142 |
| 06059-102688 | Democratic | D+29.7 | 2,141 |
| 06059-102407 | Democratic | D+37.4 | 2,127 |
| 06059-104344 | Democratic | D+35.1 | 2,081 |
| 06059-102727 | Democratic | D+18.2 | 2,050 |
| 06059-104346 | Democratic | D+31.6 | 2,031 |
| 06059-104378 | Democratic | D+57.0 | 1,965 |
| 06059-102412 | Democratic | D+26.0 | 1,951 |
| 06059-104333 | Democratic | D+51.6 | 1,938 |
| 06059-102459 | Democratic | D+17.3 | 1,916 |
| 06059-104331 | Democratic | D+56.1 | 1,914 |
All 345 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California's 46th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 46th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California's 46th Congressional District in the simulator →