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California's 51st Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California's 51st Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Sara Jacobs Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+21.4
2024 votes cast
327,471
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 761,282 people, median age 36.3, median household income $100,890.
Population
761,282
Median age
36.3
Median household income
$100,890
Bachelor's degree or higher
45.2%
Race & ethnicity: White 46.1% · Black 6.1% · Hispanic 25.4% · Asian 16.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
704 precincts reported in California's 51st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06073-135400A | Democratic | D+25.1 | 1,365 |
| 06073-181800A | Democratic | D+27.9 | 1,289 |
| 06073-274110A | Democratic | D+68.5 | 1,284 |
| 06073-110610A | Democratic | D+26.8 | 1,279 |
| 06073-160400A | Democratic | D+26.4 | 1,253 |
| 06073-190110A | Democratic | D+33.2 | 1,245 |
| 06073-470400A | Republican | R+12.4 | 1,233 |
| 06073-145800A | Democratic | D+30.7 | 1,226 |
| 06073-175080A | Democratic | D+29.5 | 1,214 |
| 06073-160600A | Democratic | D+23.2 | 1,190 |
| 06073-175250A | Democratic | D+22.8 | 1,186 |
| 06073-175130A | Democratic | D+21.1 | 1,182 |
| 06073-171520A | Democratic | D+22.5 | 1,169 |
| 06073-481200A | Democratic | D+24.1 | 1,168 |
| 06073-487090A | Democratic | D+30.1 | 1,168 |
| 06073-135080A | Democratic | D+16.0 | 1,162 |
| 06073-177330A | Democratic | D+26.3 | 1,159 |
| 06073-180050A | Democratic | D+22.5 | 1,154 |
| 06073-181200A | Democratic | D+15.8 | 1,131 |
| 06073-145100A | Democratic | D+30.1 | 1,130 |
All 704 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California's 51st Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 51st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open California's 51st Congressional District in the simulator →