electionsmcp › races › California State House District 51
California State House District 51
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 51 →
Current officeholder
Rick Chavez Zbur Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+50.0
2024 votes cast
205,445
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
225 precincts reported in California State House District 51's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06037-6250003AA | Democratic | D+39.8 | 2,878 |
| 06037-7750007AA | Democratic | D+65.2 | 2,824 |
| 06037-7750005AA | Democratic | D+70.8 | 2,775 |
| 06037-9001284AA | Democratic | D+72.0 | 2,755 |
| 06037-6250127AA | Democratic | D+67.4 | 2,672 |
| 06037-6250034AA | Democratic | D+60.5 | 2,667 |
| 06037-9001454AA | Democratic | D+55.1 | 2,646 |
| 06037-9002368AA | Democratic | D+67.5 | 2,640 |
| 06037-9003036AA | Democratic | D+58.4 | 2,617 |
| 06037-9001199AA | Democratic | D+57.5 | 2,542 |
| 06037-9001196AA | Democratic | D+70.3 | 2,530 |
| 06037-6250063AA | Democratic | D+71.5 | 2,474 |
| 06037-9000263AA | Democratic | D+77.3 | 2,446 |
| 06037-9001605AA | Democratic | D+65.3 | 2,440 |
| 06037-7750023AA | Democratic | D+78.2 | 2,398 |
| 06037-6250020AA | Democratic | D+54.2 | 2,356 |
| 06037-6250050AA | Democratic | D+64.0 | 2,339 |
| 06037-6250043AA | Democratic | D+61.6 | 2,333 |
| 06037-6250018AA | Democratic | D+59.0 | 2,271 |
| 06037-9003078AA | Democratic | D+47.4 | 2,264 |
All 225 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 51 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 51 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 51 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 51?
Rick Chavez Zbur (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 51?
D+50.0 — 154,094 Democratic, 51,351 Republican, of 205,445 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.