electionsmcp › races › California State House District 53
California State House District 53
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 53 →
Current officeholder
Michelle Rodriguez Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+9.5
2024 votes cast
104,114
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
415 precincts reported in California State House District 53's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06071-CN31694A | Democratic | D+6.5 | 2,366 |
| 06071-CN31684A | Republican | R+5.0 | 2,353 |
| 06071-ON31655A | Democratic | D+7.9 | 2,353 |
| 06071-ON31698A | Democratic | D+8.6 | 1,711 |
| 06071-ON31656A | Democratic | D+14.0 | 1,530 |
| 06071-CN21680A | Democratic | D+2.4 | 1,446 |
| 06071-MON1588A | Democratic | D+25.0 | 1,378 |
| 06037-5250027BA | Democratic | D+39.4 | 1,362 |
| 06071-MON1586A | Democratic | D+22.1 | 1,314 |
| 06071-MON1590A | Democratic | D+21.2 | 1,309 |
| 06071-CN41991A | Democratic | D+0.5 | 1,289 |
| 06071-ON31699A | Democratic | D+0.6 | 1,269 |
| 06037-5250016AA | Democratic | D+27.3 | 1,268 |
| 06071-CN22315A | Republican | R+9.1 | 1,245 |
| 06037-5250048AA | Democratic | D+40.2 | 1,225 |
| 06071-ON41616A | Democratic | D+38.4 | 1,201 |
| 06071-CN31986A | Democratic | D+7.4 | 1,196 |
| 06071-UP31491A | Democratic | D+23.4 | 1,165 |
| 06037-5250319AA | Democratic | D+13.6 | 1,150 |
| 06037-5250005CA | Democratic | D+22.2 | 1,147 |
All 415 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 53 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 53 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 53 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 53?
Michelle Rodriguez (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 53?
D+9.5 — 56,977 Democratic, 47,137 Republican, of 104,114 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.