electionsmcp › races › California's 40th Congressional District
California's 40th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California's 40th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Young Kim Republican
2024 result
Republican R+10.5
2024 votes cast
383,288
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Young Kim's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
2.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 754,183 people, median age 42.4, median household income $132,031.
Population
754,183
Median age
42.4
Median household income
$132,031
Bachelor's degree or higher
50.7%
Race & ethnicity: White 48.2% · Black 1.8% · Hispanic 24.8% · Asian 19.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
725 precincts reported in California's 40th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06059-47253A | Democratic | D+4.6 | 2,894 |
| 06059-25234A | Democratic | D+9.5 | 2,850 |
| 06059-50092A | Republican | R+25.5 | 2,799 |
| 06059-71262A | Democratic | D+16.5 | 2,778 |
| 06059-29285A | Republican | R+27.9 | 2,762 |
| 06059-25231A | Democratic | D+5.5 | 2,734 |
| 06059-02047A | Republican | R+5.1 | 2,635 |
| 06059-47260A | Republican | R+1.3 | 2,530 |
| 06059-02079A | Republican | R+9.2 | 2,460 |
| 06059-63150A | Democratic | D+8.0 | 2,410 |
| 06071-CH51740A | Republican | R+14.8 | 2,396 |
| 06059-63036A | Democratic | D+4.9 | 2,367 |
| 06059-54121A | Democratic | D+10.5 | 2,363 |
| 06059-29370A | Republican | R+28.1 | 2,345 |
| 06059-47293A | Democratic | D+1.3 | 2,313 |
| 06071-CH11726A | Republican | R+15.3 | 2,287 |
| 06059-47295A | Democratic | D+4.9 | 2,280 |
| 06059-71381A | Democratic | D+16.3 | 2,278 |
| 06059-25385A | Democratic | D+8.1 | 2,251 |
| 06059-02094A | Republican | R+4.8 | 2,230 |
All 725 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California's 40th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 40th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California's 40th Congressional District in the simulator →