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California's 21st Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.

Model California's 21st Congressional District →

California's 21st Congressional District — highlighted within California's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+5.2 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Jim Costa Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+5.2

2024 votes cast

195,261

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Jim Costa's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#102 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

8.1estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 757,752 people, median age 31.6, median household income $62,084.

Population

757,752

Median age

31.6

Median household income

$62,084

Bachelor's degree or higher

16.5%

Race & ethnicity: White 18.8% · Black 4.7% · Hispanic 64.3% · Asian 9.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

582 precincts reported in California's 21st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
06019-0000413A Democratic D+22.4 2,644
06019-0000239A Democratic D+8.4 2,623
06019-0000458A Democratic D+1.5 2,235
06019-0000203A Democratic D+0.5 2,059
06019-0000343A Democratic D+48.3 2,004
06019-0000387A Democratic D+43.7 1,986
06019-0000275A Democratic D+17.7 1,918
06019-0000369A Democratic D+45.9 1,915
06019-0000344A Democratic D+46.2 1,847
06019-0000097A Democratic D+22.4 1,793
06019-0000329A Democratic D+15.9 1,783
06019-0000104A Democratic D+4.2 1,775
06107-3063002A Republican R+32.8 1,737
06019-0000438A Democratic D+3.1 1,714
06019-0000202A Democratic D+8.0 1,647
06019-0000396A Democratic D+32.4 1,588
06019-0000320A Democratic D+28.5 1,583
06019-0000394A Democratic D+29.6 1,492
06019-0000237A Democratic D+8.1 1,480
06019-0000397A Democratic D+27.1 1,440

All 582 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model California's 21st Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California's 21st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open California's 21st Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents California's 21st Congressional District?
Jim Costa (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California's 21st Congressional District?
D+5.2 — 102,701 Democratic, 92,560 Republican, of 195,261 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for California's 21st Congressional District?
California's 21st Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 8.1 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 102 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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