electionsmcp › races › California State House District 46
California State House District 46
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 46 →
Current officeholder
Jesse Gabriel Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+25.8
2024 votes cast
170,089
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
184 precincts reported in California State House District 46's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06037-9005520AA | Democratic | D+38.6 | 2,615 |
| 06037-9001091AA | Democratic | D+43.4 | 2,533 |
| 06037-9000212BA | Democratic | D+37.9 | 2,502 |
| 06037-9000429AA | Democratic | D+47.2 | 2,421 |
| 06037-9007957AA | Democratic | D+32.7 | 2,390 |
| 06037-9001044AA | Democratic | D+23.7 | 2,384 |
| 06037-9007927AA | Democratic | D+26.4 | 2,290 |
| 06037-9006601BA | Democratic | D+32.0 | 2,146 |
| 06037-9000172AA | Democratic | D+53.7 | 2,123 |
| 06037-9003122AA | Democratic | D+22.2 | 2,112 |
| 06037-9001041AA | Democratic | D+40.9 | 2,070 |
| 06037-9000033AA | Democratic | D+21.9 | 2,068 |
| 06037-9000160AA | Democratic | D+43.8 | 2,066 |
| 06037-9007674AA | Democratic | D+13.2 | 2,056 |
| 06037-9000668BA | Democratic | D+53.1 | 2,039 |
| 06037-9000628AA | Democratic | D+23.5 | 1,990 |
| 06037-9006490BA | Democratic | D+29.3 | 1,969 |
| 06037-9001029AA | Democratic | D+40.3 | 1,949 |
| 06037-9000780BA | Democratic | D+44.4 | 1,943 |
| 06037-9006667AA | Democratic | D+32.2 | 1,923 |
All 184 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 46 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 46 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 46 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 46?
Jesse Gabriel (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 46?
D+25.8 — 106,994 Democratic, 63,095 Republican, of 170,089 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.