electionsmcp › races › California State House District 40
California State House District 40
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 40 →
Current officeholder
Pilar Schiavo Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+5.6
2024 votes cast
226,447
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
287 precincts reported in California State House District 40's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06037-9003013AA | Democratic | D+21.2 | 3,283 |
| 06037-6820023AA | Democratic | D+19.2 | 3,100 |
| 06037-9006269AA | Democratic | D+15.3 | 2,828 |
| 06037-6220066AA | Democratic | D+15.3 | 2,703 |
| 06037-9000315AA | Democratic | D+20.1 | 2,640 |
| 06037-6220057AA | Democratic | D+4.8 | 2,536 |
| 06037-6220155AA | Democratic | D+21.4 | 2,505 |
| 06037-6220128AA | Democratic | D+10.1 | 2,452 |
| 06037-6220040AA | Democratic | D+11.7 | 2,415 |
| 06037-6220215AA | Democratic | D+20.4 | 2,373 |
| 06037-6220108AA | Democratic | D+12.0 | 2,367 |
| 06037-9000017AA | Democratic | D+21.7 | 2,295 |
| 06037-6220103AA | Democratic | D+10.0 | 2,247 |
| 06037-6820015AA | Democratic | D+9.9 | 2,242 |
| 06037-9006267AA | Democratic | D+27.0 | 2,241 |
| 06037-9006248AA | Democratic | D+12.1 | 2,229 |
| 06037-6220004AA | Democratic | D+12.8 | 2,135 |
| 06037-6220248AA | Democratic | D+6.4 | 2,132 |
| 06037-6220018AA | Democratic | D+10.3 | 2,120 |
| 06037-9000270AA | Democratic | D+25.3 | 2,111 |
All 287 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 40 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 40 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 40 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 40?
Pilar Schiavo (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 40?
D+5.6 — 119,600 Democratic, 106,847 Republican, of 226,447 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.