electionsmcp › races › California State House District 15
California State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Anamarie Ávila Farías Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+28.3
2024 votes cast
205,220
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
546 precincts reported in California State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06013-CONC117A | Democratic | D+34.7 | 1,946 |
| 06013-CONC138A | Democratic | D+26.0 | 1,925 |
| 06013-CONC133A | Democratic | D+36.7 | 1,860 |
| 06013-BREN129A | Democratic | D+11.9 | 1,859 |
| 06013-BREN133A | Democratic | D+26.9 | 1,818 |
| 06013-CONC125A | Democratic | D+32.5 | 1,771 |
| 06013-BREN127A | Democratic | D+24.5 | 1,719 |
| 06013-PLHL110A | Democratic | D+39.1 | 1,707 |
| 06013-BREN103A | Democratic | D+11.8 | 1,705 |
| 06013-CLAY102A | Democratic | D+10.3 | 1,695 |
| 06013-CONC136A | Democratic | D+32.4 | 1,618 |
| 06013-ANTI133A | Democratic | D+43.2 | 1,612 |
| 06013-PTTS105A | Democratic | D+35.4 | 1,603 |
| 06013-CONC126A | Democratic | D+43.2 | 1,591 |
| 06013-CLAY104A | Democratic | D+13.8 | 1,573 |
| 06013-CONC142A | Democratic | D+37.1 | 1,565 |
| 06013-PTTS117A | Democratic | D+43.3 | 1,517 |
| 06013-CONC147A | Democratic | D+32.1 | 1,506 |
| 06013-PTTS118A | Democratic | D+44.6 | 1,497 |
| 06013-PLHL107A | Democratic | D+33.5 | 1,456 |
All 546 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 15?
Anamarie Ávila Farías (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 15?
D+28.3 — 131,634 Democratic, 73,586 Republican, of 205,220 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.