electionsmcp › races › California State House District 12
California State House District 12
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 12 →
Current officeholder
Damon Connolly Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+58.6
2024 votes cast
137,318
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
546 precincts reported in California State House District 12's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06041-10901A | Democratic | D+67.6 | 3,920 |
| 06041-30503A | Democratic | D+73.7 | 3,620 |
| 06041-50601A | Democratic | D+42.4 | 3,570 |
| 06041-40201A | Democratic | D+67.1 | 3,431 |
| 06041-20811A | Democratic | D+73.6 | 3,283 |
| 06041-10905A | Democratic | D+70.7 | 3,106 |
| 06041-20301A | Democratic | D+76.3 | 3,078 |
| 06041-11220A | Democratic | D+67.3 | 3,019 |
| 06041-31110A | Democratic | D+48.6 | 3,002 |
| 06041-30506A | Democratic | D+70.3 | 2,927 |
| 06041-20813A | Democratic | D+75.3 | 2,807 |
| 06041-10903A | Democratic | D+64.0 | 2,747 |
| 06041-31008A | Democratic | D+64.2 | 2,744 |
| 06041-10915A | Democratic | D+55.4 | 2,621 |
| 06041-21223A | Democratic | D+58.9 | 2,532 |
| 06041-20405A | Democratic | D+64.0 | 2,433 |
| 06041-31214A | Democratic | D+69.5 | 2,375 |
| 06041-50614A | Democratic | D+54.9 | 2,366 |
| 06041-41226A | Democratic | D+75.1 | 2,310 |
| 06041-10919A | Democratic | D+58.5 | 2,272 |
All 546 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 12 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 12 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State House District 12 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 12?
Damon Connolly (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 12?
D+58.6 — 108,884 Democratic, 28,434 Republican, of 137,318 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.