electionsmcp › races › California State Senate District 2
California State Senate District 2
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State Senate District 2 →
Current officeholder
Mike McGuire Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2018 general
1,577 precincts reported in California State Senate District 2's 2018 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06097-7183A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,535 |
| 06097-7554A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,393 |
| 06097-7171A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,352 |
| 06097-7322A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,301 |
| 06097-7321A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,300 |
| 06097-7411A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,243 |
| 06097-7137A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,239 |
| 06097-7568A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,189 |
| 06097-4402A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,182 |
| 06097-3128A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,180 |
| 06097-4908A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,165 |
| 06097-7540A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,154 |
| 06097-4906A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,146 |
| 06097-7179A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,109 |
| 06097-7207A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,107 |
| 06097-7455A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,062 |
| 06097-4907A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,058 |
| 06097-7507A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,050 |
| 06097-7459A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,041 |
| 06097-1121A | Democratic | D+100.0 | 1,039 |
All 1,577 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State Senate District 2 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State Senate District 2 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open California State Senate District 2 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State Senate District 2?
Mike McGuire (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State Senate District 2?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.